Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.002312 0.002451 0.002599 0.002768 0.002958 0.003165 0.003411
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.002081 0.002269 0.002479 0.002734 0.003039 0.003398 0.003862
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.001948 0.002170 0.002429 0.002758 0.003176 0.003702 0.004441
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001831 0.002073 0.002364 0.002748 0.003260 0.003943 0.004980
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001722 0.001974 0.002283 0.002704 0.003286 0.004103 0.005433
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001674 0.001944 0.002284 0.002763 0.003453 0.004481 0.006313
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.001625 0.001908 0.002272 0.002799 0.003588 0.004831 0.007251
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.001555 0.001839 0.002210 0.002757 0.003600 0.004982 0.007867
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.001480 0.001759 0.002127 0.002678 0.003542 0.005004 0.008223
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.001436 0.001718 0.002096 0.002670 0.003597 0.005230 0.009122
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001353 0.001620 0.001979 0.002527 0.003414 0.004990 0.008801
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001324 0.001595 0.001963 0.002535 0.003485 0.005243 0.009867
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001300 0.001577 0.001959 0.002564 0.003601 0.005619 0.011568
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001264 0.001540 0.001925 0.002544 0.003628 0.005821 0.012903
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001243 0.001524 0.001921 0.002570 0.003742 0.006243 0.015517
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001214 0.001496 0.001897 0.002563 0.003793 0.006532 0.018020
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001180 0.001458 0.001857 0.002525 0.003779 0.006657 0.019928
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001170 0.001456 0.001870 0.002577 0.003951 0.007321 0.027023
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001156 0.001446 0.001870 0.002609 0.004085 0.007933 0.037232
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001127 0.001413 0.001834 0.002572 0.004068 0.008086 0.043703
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001092 0.001370 0.001781 0.002502 0.003971 0.007959 0.045480
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001073 0.001350 0.001763 0.002495 0.004015 0.008315 0.060922
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001028 0.001291 0.001681 0.002368 0.003776 0.007654 0.047367